BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Arkansas St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 81 Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength =  149.74

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   148.99  36  43   1A  74 (  4-  8) Nebraska                0.13     -7.13                      
  2 09/16/2017 Home    W   139.15  48   3   1B 120 (  2-  9) Arkansas-Pine Bluff    -9.71 *   54.71                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    L   131.37  21  44   1A  75 (  7-  6) SMU                   -17.49     -5.51                      
  4 10/04/2017 Away    W * 155.57  43  25   1A 118 (  2- 10) Georgia Southern        6.71     11.29                      
  5 10/14/2017 Home    W * 164.44  51  17   1A 121 (  3-  9) Coastal Carolina       15.58     18.42                      
  6 10/19/2017 Home    W * 172.64  47   3   1A 123 (  5-  7) Louisiana-Lafayette    23.78     20.22                      
  7 10/28/2017 Away    W * 159.92  37  21   1A 102 (  7-  6) New Mexico St          11.06      4.94                      
  8 11/11/2017 Away    L * 132.56  19  24   1A 119 (  4-  8) South Alabama         -16.30     11.30                      
  9 11/18/2017 Home    W * 140.73  30  12   1A 127 (  2- 10) Texas St-San Marcos    -8.12     26.12                      
 10 11/25/2017 Away    W * 158.78  67  50   1A 111 (  4-  8) Louisiana-Monroe        9.92      7.08                      
 11 12/02/2017 Home    L * 143.29  25  32   1A  65 ( 11-  2) Troy                   -5.57     -1.43                      
 12 12/16/2017 Neutral L   138.87  30  35   1A  96 (  7-  6) Middle Tennessee St    -9.99      4.99                      
      Averages             148.86  37.8 25.8

Best game:  172.64 = 44 point win over Louisiana-Lafayette
Worst game: 131.37 = 23 point loss to SMU
Team stdev:  13.27